Pick a firm and account type. Eval cost prefills from that SKU — including a live promo price when we have one. Pass rate, payout chance, and average payout are your assumptions, not firm-reported rates. This is the expected value of one eval attempt, not a prediction.
Expected value of one evaluation attempt under your assumptions. Not a prediction, not a promise, and not firm-reported statistics.
EV per eval
−$310.25
EV per eval = (your pass rate × your payout chance × your average payout) − eval cost
Break-even pass rate: 87.6% — the pass rate that makes EV $0 with your other assumptions.